The focus of this research is to develop a bus dwell time model based on formulas presented in the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) and Transit Capacity and Quality of Service Manual (TCQSM). The dwell time model proposed in this paper not only includes factors like the number of boarding and alighting passengers, but a number of secondary factors like crowding in the bus, crowding in the station, roadway congestion, bus type, the status of bus lines, the number of alighting passengers, the number of boarding passengers, level of service of the station before passengers alighting, level of service at the bus before passengers alighting, bus type, level of service at the bus after passengers alighting, the number of bus lines passing through the station, the average headway of bus lines, and level of service of roadway are considered and taken into account in our proposed model as well. Furthermore, the developed model is validated using data collected from bus lines in Tehran, Iran. The model validation demonstrates that it has relatively good accuracy (85%) to estimate the bus dwell time. Moreover, the sensitivity analysis on the developed model indicates that increasing the number of alighting passengers and crowding at the bus has a greater effect on the dwell time than any other factors. Decrease in level of service of roadway, increase in the number of boarding passengers, crowding at the station, and decrease in the average headway of bus lines are the other important factors respectively.
A Arhin, S., & Noel, E. C. (2015). Predicting Dwell Time by Bus Stop Type and Time of the Day. Journal of Civil & Environmental Engineering, 05(05). https://doi.org/10.4172/2165-784X.1000189
Aashtiani, H. Z., & Iravani, H. (2002). Application of Dwell Time Functions in Transit Assignment Model. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1817(1), 88–92. https://doi.org/10.3141/1817-11
Associates, K. &, Administration, U. S. F. T., Program, T. C. R., & Corporation, T. D. (2003). Transit capacity and quality of service manual (Vol. 42). Transportation Research Board.
Bie, Y., Wang, Y., & Zhang, L. (2020). Impact of Carriage Crowding Level on Bus Dwell Time: Modelling and Analysis. Journal of Advanced Transportation, 2020, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/6530530
Chen, W., Chen, G., Zhang, S., & Liu, H. (2020). The Influence of Passenger Queuing Disorder on Bus Stop Dwell Time. CICTP 2020, 2166–2176. https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784482933.187
Highway capacity manual (Vol. 2). (2000).
Jaiswal, S., Bunker, J., & Ferreira, L. (2010). Influence of Platform Walking on BRT Station Bus Dwell Time Estimation: Australian Analysis. Journal of Transportation Engineering, 136(12), 1173–1179. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)TE.1943-5436.0000174
Mahdavilayen, M., Paquet, V., & He, Q. (2020). Using Microsimulation to Estimate Effects of Boarding Conditions on Bus Dwell Time and Schedule Adherence for Passengers with Mobility Limitations. Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems, 146(6), 04020046. https://doi.org/10.1061/JTEPBS.0000365
Rajbhandari, R., Chien, S. I., & Daniel, J. R. (2003). Estimation of Bus Dwell Times with Automatic Passenger Counter Information. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1841(1), 120–127. https://doi.org/10.3141/1841-13
Xin, J., & Chen, S. (2016). Bus Dwell Time Prediction Based on KNN. Procedia Engineering, 137, 283–288. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2016.01.260
Zhang, C., & Teng, J. (2013). Bus Dwell Time Estimation and Prediction: A Study Case in Shanghai-China. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 96, 1329–1340. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2013.08.151.
Abdolmanafi,S. E. , Khalili,D. and Mazaheri,H. (2025). A Model to Predict the Bus Dwell Time in Stations. International Journal of Transportation Engineering, 12(4), 1993-2008. doi: 10.22119/ijte.2025.487347.1678
MLA
Abdolmanafi,S. E. , , Khalili,D. , and Mazaheri,H. . "A Model to Predict the Bus Dwell Time in Stations", International Journal of Transportation Engineering, 12, 4, 2025, 1993-2008. doi: 10.22119/ijte.2025.487347.1678
HARVARD
Abdolmanafi S. E., Khalili D., Mazaheri H. (2025). 'A Model to Predict the Bus Dwell Time in Stations', International Journal of Transportation Engineering, 12(4), pp. 1993-2008. doi: 10.22119/ijte.2025.487347.1678
CHICAGO
S. E. Abdolmanafi, D. Khalili and H. Mazaheri, "A Model to Predict the Bus Dwell Time in Stations," International Journal of Transportation Engineering, 12 4 (2025): 1993-2008, doi: 10.22119/ijte.2025.487347.1678
VANCOUVER
Abdolmanafi S. E., Khalili D., Mazaheri H. A Model to Predict the Bus Dwell Time in Stations. IJTE, 2025; 12(4): 1993-2008. doi: 10.22119/ijte.2025.487347.1678